![]() ![]() ![]() The nature of war has changed with a decreasing role for formal armies, lack of battlefield engagement, and increased involvement of civilians as victims. They range from the ideological struggles that we see in Mozambique, Eritrea, or Nicaragua, to more fragmented decentralised conflicts such as those of Somalia and Rwanda, with many a mixture of both at any particular time. There are now more states than ever and also more disputes, but still relatively few lead to war.Though fewer fights, these days they tend to last longer. There was a wide variation in the intensity of these conflicts, from ‘low intensity’ guerrilla-government conflicts, to conflicts between relatively large and well-equipped armies. ![]() In 2007, there were 14 major armed conflicts in 13 locations around the world, nearly all of which were civil wars. ![]() In each year of the 1980s and 1990s there were between thirty and forty major armed conflicts in progress, though over the past decade major armed conflicts have declined. Not a single low-income country afflicted by violence has achieved even one of the eight Millennium Development goals. Conflict gets in the way of efforts to reduce poverty, ensure health and promote education. Short summaryĪrmed conflict is a major global problem and disproportionately affects the world’s poorest. In addition two Perspective Papers have been released, one by Anke Hoeffler and one by Andrew Mack. The working paper used by the Expert Panel is available for download here, the finalized paper has been published in Global Problems, Smart Solutions - Costs and Benefits by Cambridge University Press. Paul Dunne and released by the Copenhagen Consensus Center. Third Copenhagen Consensus: Armed Conflict Assessment, DunneĪn Assessment Paper on Armed Conflict has been written by J. ![]()
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